Tuesday 16th December 2025

Fairly mild with some further rain this week, drier and probably colder in time for Christmas.

So the general picture sees high pressure to our south-east which has kept us dry recently, being pushed away as weather fronts spread across from the west.

Tuesday starts mostly cloudy with showery rain – some heavy bursts possible but it’ll be fairly hit and miss, not much rain in the grand scheme of things. A few splashes of rain still possible early afternoon but it will become dry, mostly cloudy though some bright spells possible later in the afternoon. Mild in the morning, around 11’C, a little lower once the rain clears. The remaining cloud slowly clearing overnight, though fog will then form fairly widely, perhaps frosty too – down to around 1’C.

Wednesday starts foggy for most, though not necessarily everywhere. This will slowly break up, some hazy sunshine possible but still lots of cloud as the next weather front approaches. Some bits of light rain possible in the afternoon. Around 9’C and becoming quite windy later. Rain crossing during the evening and overnight, likely cleared before dawn. Fairly strong winds for a time, and temperatures around 10’c.

Thursday probably starts dry, or with patchy rain at most, but further heavy and persistent rain will spread up from the south/south-west for pretty much all day – a fair soaking. Strong winds too and around 11’C. Still some rain around in the evening but showery by this stage and it will fade out to leave a dry night – around 7’C.

Friday looks a sunny day, maybe some high cloud still in the morning but otherwise pleasant for the time of year. Around 9’C, maybe 10’C. Fairly clear skies overnight, down to around 5’C.

By Saturday there are notable changes – high pressure develops to the west in the Atlantic, but also the European high pushes north too, which leaves the low pressure trapped over the UK.

Saturday probably will be fine, the weather front will likely be to our west – so we’ll have hazy sunshine and temperatures around 9’C or so. Uncertain overnight.

Sunday probably sees some rain or showers as low pressure moves closer, though also further south – some uncertainty on this though.

Highly uncertain after that, though an easterly (ish) flow and something generally drier (some bits of rain possible) and somewhat colder is the slightly more likely outcome through Christmas week – not impossible we could go full-on easterly mode with wintry showers later next week/weekend, though that is only a small chance.

A White Christmas is maybe a 4% chance now…creeping up a tad but still highly unlikely. If I were forced for a forecast for Christmas Day, then cloudy, maybe some drizzle and chilly – around 6’C.

Colder and drier than normal seems the more likely outcome for late December and early January – fog/frost very possible.

Next forecast should be on Friday morning, all being well – busy time of year!