Thursday 5th March 2026

The often pleasant weather continues – not without some rain and some cloudy days, but just about more sunshine overall. And temperatures well above-average, especially today.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph – nice to be able to use the sunny ones again.

The general overview sees high pressure to our east and a southerly flow, though a small low pressure system close to the north-west is encroaching.

Today will be a very pleasant spring day, long spells of sunshine, a little bit of cloud floating around this afternoon but not much. Quite warm, we should reach around 17’C. Clear spells at first overnight, though cloud thickening as the night goes on and a weather front approaches – perhaps some mist/fog patches by dawn too. Down to around 6’C.

Friday starts cloudy, perhaps some mist/fog patches. A spell of rain will move up from the south from around mid-morning onwards, generally light or moderate rain, rainfall totals pretty limited. Around 11’C. Staying mostly cloudy in the evening/overnight, the odd splash of rain possible, around 7’C.

Saturday sees a lot of cloud around for probably most/all of the day, perhaps the odd splash of rain mixed in – though there is a chance that it could break up by mid/late afternoon to leave sunny spells. Most likely around 12’C, but if the sun does come out, and if it is early enough, say by 3pm, then maybe 15’C. Cloudy overnight, around 7’C.

Sunday starts cloudy once more but I’m much more hopeful of the sun coming out this time. Cannot promise it, maybe a 20% chance it stays cloudy for most/all of the day, but more likely the sun breaks through from around lunchtime (ish!!) onwards. Assuming the sun comes out, then 16’C should be reached – if not then closer to 12’C. It will likely cloud over again overnight, perhaps with mist/fog too – though also one or two showers from a weak weather front may push across. Around 7’C.

Hints of a change by Monday with another small low approaching, but also the jetstream powering up to our north.

Some uncertainty for details on Monday, a good chance of mist/fog/low cloud early on, also a chance of some showers or showery rain around at times – but also some bright spells too. Around 13’C. Skies likely clearing overnight though a fair chance of mist/fog forming before dawn. Down to around 5’C.

Tuesday more likely sees mist/fog/low cloud in the morning, gradually lifting into sunny spells – though certainly possible it is either a mostly sunny or a mostly misty/cloudy day instead – too early to call in detail. Around 12’C to 16’C – depending on sunshine amounts.

Wednesday probably sees a weak weather front crossing with a bit of rain – timing uncertain but if it clears early enough then sunny spells would follow. Around 13’C.

Perhaps a pleasant day for Thursday but low confidence.

More broadly we should then migrate back into a more unsettled spell, though I state lower confidence than usual due to the sudden stratospheric warming event that has now happened – we’ll see to see what effect this has on the troposphere, if any.

My current hunch is any unsettled spell from late next week/next weekend lasts for a week before it settles down somewhat.

Have a pleasant end to the week/weekend – next forecast should be on Sunday morning.