Monday 2nd June 2025

A somewhat more unsettled week ahead.

Thanks to Fiona for the photograph.

The general picture to start the week sees a westerly flow, with our next low pressure system currently to the south-west of Iceland, gearing up.

Monday will still be a pleasant day though, plenty of sunshine, some fair-weather cloud at times, perhaps more cloud than sunshine through the lunch period, and reaching around 21’C or so. Quite breezy too. Clear spells for much of the night, though cloud thickening towards dawn – down to around 11’C.

Tuesday sees a band of rain crossing, arriving around 7/8am (give or take), often light and patchy but a few heavier bursts probable, more likely in the afternoon before it clears. Sunny spells arriving later in the afternoon – a bit of uncertainty as to when the band of rain clears. Around 16’C and windy. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 8’C.

Lots of cloud likely for Wednesday and a few heavy showers around – say a 75% chance of catching at least a couple. Some sunny spells, but fairly limited – and breezy too. Around 18’C. A mostly cloudy night with some bits of showery rain, around 11’C.

Low pressure still stuck to the north of Scotland on Thursday, and it will have spawned a secondary low on its southern edge for Thursday.

Some uncertainty as to how it develops at this stage, though more likely Thursday will see much of the day wet and probably windy – timing TBC also. There is a small chance that this secondary low doesn’t develop too much, in which case we’d be looking at sunny spells and heavy showers – but the wet and windy scenario is at least an 80% chance. Temperatures will depend on when the rain arrives, if in the morning then it probably won’t get above 14’C, if it starts bright and the rain arrives later, then maybe 18’C. Probably dry overnight.

Friday likely will be a fairly cloudy day with multiple showers, probably heavy too, perhaps very heavy with a rumble of thunder. A bit of sunshine at times too though. Around 19’C and breezy, if not quite windy. Further showers or showery rain probable overnight.

Low pressure still in charge for Saturday though the broad-scale trough starting to pull away. Details uncertain but either a spell of rain for much of the day, or fairly cloudy with frequent heavy, thundery showers are the two more likely outcomes. Temperatures somewhere between 15’C and 19’C, depending on whether we get any sunshine, and still breezy.

Sunday probably sees a ridge of high pressure, though fairly low confidence. So a drier day, quite a lot of cloud, some sunny spells, still a chance of a shower or two – and roughly around 18’C, give or take.

You may be wondering if we’ve had our summer.

Well…no. It’s just taking a break. My full summer forecast will be issued in the next couple of days.

Next week should be an improvement, warmer, more sunshine – though not every day, still likely some showers or even a band of rain for some days.