Friday 12th December 2025

Some rain ahead, but high pressure over Europe impeding progress of weather fronts more than previously expected.

Thanks to Christel for the photograph.

So the general overview sees an active Atlantic on a fairly strong jetstream, but high pressure to the south-east over Europe is deflecting it away somewhat from us…somewhat, anyway.

Friday starts cloudy – a weather will gradually cross during the morning, bringing mostly light and patchy rain/drizzle, maybe a little more moderate at times. Mostly dry this afternoon, perhaps still a bit of drizzle at first, then mostly cloudy for the rest of the day. Still mild, around 12C. Skies gradually clearing overnight, a chilly night – down to around 2’C, a frost possible in more sheltered spots, perhaps some patches of fog by dawn.

Saturday morning will be sunny (a small chance of some fog patches early on though in more sheltered spots). Skies becoming hazier in the afternoon. Around 10’C. Cloud gradually thickening overnight, down to around 3’C.

Sunday will be fairly cloudy though bright, with hazy sunshine at times – the high pressure block still not allowing weather fronts across (not what I expected a few days ago). Around 10’C or so, maybe a tad milder than that, and becoming breezy later in the day. It should stay dry overnight, though the weather front to our west edging closer – around 8’C.

Still a very similar set-up for Monday, though the weather front will be edging closer.

So often cloudy but probably staying dry on Monday, perhaps a bit of light rain. Around 11’C and breezy. The weather front probably finally crosses overnight, bringing some showery rain.

Tuesday probably sees further showery rain as the weather front very slowly edges east. Around 8’C. Fog and/or frost possible overnight.

Wednesday then probably sees another weather front crossing, bringing some showery rain – timing TBC. Around 9’C or so.

Early suggestions of a notably deep area of low pressure later on Thursday or perhaps Friday instead, which could bring some disruptive winds, and further heavy rain – not guaranteed yet, but something to watch out for if you have plans.

Very low confidence but possible it calms down after that with something a bit colder in time for Christmas. Consider the chance of a White Christmas now at 2%.