Thursday 14th August 2025

Hot and sunny for the foreseeable.

Sunday’s forecast had a couple of details wrong, though same applied to professional forecasts even on the day for Monday. I guess the influence of ex-tropical storm Dexter confused the models, which is what I mostly rely on.

That said, I did suggest in the summer forecast back in early June that it could be “a summer for the ages”. Probably has been, and there’s more to come.

Thanks to Tracy for the photograph.

The general picture sees high pressure loosely in control with the very hot weather continuing over much of the European continent. The low to our west which had an uncertain direction in the last forecast, is going to drop south towards the Azores, rather than head our way.

We start Thursday with quite a bit of low cloud around, some breaks in the cloud. Gradually it will break up to leave good and increasing spells of sunshine, especially later this afternoon. Quite hot, but not like it has been, reaching around 27’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, a very small chance of some localised mist/fog patches by dawn – but unlikely. Down to around 15’C.

Friday sees long spells of sunshine, with a bit of cloud bubbling up. Hot, reaching around 30’C – I’m so having a beer on my roof in the afternoon. An easterly breeze setting up, and overnight this means a good chance of importing some North Sea cloud – minimum temperatures somewhere between 14’C and 17’C, higher if cloud arrives early.

Saturday likely starts cloudy but the sun will burn through the cloud at some point. Uncertain as to when, more likely during the morning but certainly possible it takes until early afternoon to break through – once it does, long spells of sunshine should follow. Very warm, though how much will depend on how quickly the sun comes out – reaching somewhere between 25’C and 28’C. Probably clear or mostly clear skies overnight, and down to around 13’C.

By Sunday the general overview sees high pressure over the UK, centred over Scotland – the aforementioned low just starting to track towards us once more.

Sunday will be a mostly sunny day with long spells of sunshine – perhaps some cloud at times. Again a bit of uncertainty on temperatures, but roughly between 25’C and 28’C. Cloud probably heading over again overnight from the North Sea, down to roughly 15’C.

Monday likely starts cloudy, but again the sun will burn through at some point, most likely during the morning, to leave long spells of sunshine. Reaching somewhere between 25’C and 27’C so very warm once more. Some cloud possible again overnight.

Some uncertainty for Tuesday but more likely it stays at least fairly sunny and very warm, with temperatures roughly between 25’C and 28’C once more. A chance of a heavy shower.

That’s about as far as I can go with any confidence – forecasting at this time of year is more difficult than many other times of the year, due to the Atlantic hurricane season, and there is quite a whopper of a hurricane expected in Hurricane Erin, which is forecasted to curve out into the Atlantic later next week, so it may well have some kind of impact on our weather, depending on what track it takes.

However there is still a fairly consistent signal for a more northerly flow for the back holiday weekend, which would suggest something more average in terms of temperatures, perhaps even on the cool side, with some showers/rain at some points. Oh well…but it’s still a long way away.

Have a very pleasant weekend ahead…maybe enjoy the sunshine whilst you can!