Monday 26th May 2025

A mixed week ahead with rain at times, but also some warmth and sunshine.

Thanks to Fiona for the photograph.

So the general picture to start the week sees a westerly flow, low pressure to our north, and two developing to the west, queueing up to visit the UK.

So today is a mostly cloudy day with a couple of showers around. Around 18’C and breezy. The first half of the night will be cloudy with bits and pieces of rain, the second half sees clearer skies. Windy, around 13’C.

Tuesday starts with some hazy sunshine but it will quickly cloud over, with rain arriving around 10/11am ish. The rain somewhat showery, some heavy bursts likely mixed in too. Becoming windy in the afternoon, around 16’C. Still some showery bits in the evening though these fading – mostly dry overnight, around 12’C. Still breezy.

Wednesday will see a fair amount of cloud around, but some sunny spells at times too – more likely later in the day. Some showers around too, more likely in the morning or through lunchtime. Warmer once more, around 20’C and still breezy. Becoming cloudy overnight, a bit of patchy rain, mostly light. Around 13’C.

Thursday will be a mostly cloudy day – a bit of uncertainty over where the overnight weather front will be, so a 25% chance of some showery bits of rain in the morning, but more likely mostly dry. Some sunshine possible later in the day. Warmer as we’ll be starting to tap into the heat pushing up from Africa, reaching around 22’C despite all the cloud. Fairly clear skies overnight, around 13’C.

By Friday we’ll just be picking up some of the heat that is pushing from Africa northwards.

Most likely it will be a sunny day, or at least hazy sunshine. Temperatures somewhere between 23’C and 28’C – some uncertainty as to how much of the heat we can tap into (it won’t be far from 40’C in southern Spain). Probably dry overnight, though a very small chance of importing a thunderstorm from France.

Not especially high confidence on details for the weekend.

Saturday will likely still be very warm, say around 24’C give or take. Sunny spells and scattered heavy showers the more likely theme, but I wouldn’t rule out it just being dry and sunny, though likewise nor would I rule out something cloudier and wetter at this stage.

Sunday more likely is a bit less warm, say 19’C to 22’C. Sunny spells and heavy showers the more likely outcome, though as I said, not especially high confidence.

Fairly low confidence also for next week, more likely would be the continuation of the showery theme with temperatures varying say between 17’C and 22’C, but something drier – or much wetter are possible instead.

Plausible that we tap into some of the heat to the south the weekend after, say a 25% chance of a short hot spell – one to watch, but not yet expect.