Another mixed week ahead though drier, warmer and sunnier overall then the last couple of weeks.
Thanks to Isabel for the photograph.
However we start the week with Storm Floris crossing Scotland. Unusually strong winds for August up there.

Down here, it’s a bright start though cloud will thicken pretty quickly, with some bits and pieces of rain around. Mid/late afternoon seeing something a bit more persistent, with 2-3 hours of light to steady rain. Sunshine by early evening. Windy, and we should just about reach 22’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 12’C.
Tuesday starts sunny. Some cloud will bubble up, perhaps more cloud than sunshine during the lunchtime period, and generally sunnier later in the day. Warm, around 24’C. Mostly clear skies overnight though a cooler night than for some time – down to around 10’C.
Wednesday will be another pleasant day, sunny to start, high cloud is expected to spread across roughly by late morning but it will remain bright with hazy sunshine for the rest of the day. Around 24’C so feeling warm once more. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 13’C.
Thursday sees a weakening weather front cross the UK, so more in the way of cloud at times during the day, and perhaps a shower – but also some sunshine, and probably warmer. More likely reaching around 26’C, though there is a little uncertainty on that aspect. Some high cloud around overnight, down to around 14’C.
By Friday the general picture sees high pressure loosely in control, though the heat will be building over western Europe once more – on average this is around the peak of land temperatures in the northern hemisphere, one week into August.
We still have quite a westerly flow, due to the jetstream being quite strong to our north, so not (yet) tapping into the European heat.

The more likely outcome for Friday is that we see a lot of high/mid-level cloud so a bright day with hazy sunshine, and warm too – around 25’C. However there is some uncertainty over the thickness of cloud, there is a small chance of it being thicker, cooler and perhaps with some drizzle. Likewise a small chance it is thinner, and temperatures are a little hotter.
Not especially high confidence for the weekend, but the more likely option for both Saturday and Sunday sees sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud, and broadly warm/very warm – say around 25’C or so.
A small chance instead of something cloudier, cooler and with some drizzle, likewise small (ish) chance of something much hotter, tapping into that European heat.
The more likely outcome for next week is for reasonable amounts of sunshine and temperatures broadly very warm or hot, or perhaps varying somewhat.
Still reasonable confidence on a good chunk of August being very pleasant indeed, with chances of heatwaves growing for the second half of the month, though some short unsettled spells will remain possible.
Have a pleasant week.
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