Friday 6th June 2025

Some heavy showers in the next couple of days – but then becoming much warmer.

Thanks to Cathy for the photograph.

The general set-up sees low pressure in charge right now, with a westerly flow.

Friday starts fairly cloudy – a band of showers will cross fairly early in the day, perhaps heavy. Sunny spells and scattered heavy showers will follow for a while, though showers tending to fade early/mid afternoon as cloud slowly thickens from the west. Quite windy at times but getting to around 20’C. Cloud continues to thicken in the evening with outbreaks of rain arrive late evening – some heavy bursts likely. Probably drier by dawn, down to around 11’C.

Saturday probably starts dry and bright, though showers will quickly move in during the morning. Into the afternoon, there will likely be frequent heavy/very heavy showers, thunder and hail both very possible. Some strong gusts of wind in the showers. Around 18’C. Showers fewer in the evening but still one or two around for a while, mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 9’C.

Sunday starts sunny. Cloud will bubble up with a scattering of showers, fewer than Saturday – you might miss them all, and generally less heavy though still could be quite heavy if you catch one. Around 18’C or so and still breezy. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 10’C.

By Monday the Azores high will be pushing in. A fairly sunny start, likely plenty of cloud bubbles up – more cloud than sun from around late morning, but still some sunshine. Warmer, say 21’C and just a 20% chance of a shower. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 11’C.

For Tuesday, we see the high pressure now centred over northern France, and a small low pressure to the west of Portugal/Spain is forming which will help to move some warmth our way.

So Tuesday for us will be generally pleasant, variable amounts of sunshine and cloud – tending to be more cloud than sun around the middle of the day, otherwise more sunshine. Warmer, 24’C seems feasible. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 10’C.

Wednesday will see good spells of sunshine, some cloud around but not too much. Very warm, if not quite hot – 26’C seems feasible. Mostly clear skies overnight and a warmish night, no lower than around 15’C in a southerly breeze. A very small chance of importing a thunderstorm later in the night.

Thursday is…complicated. Low pressure will be pushing east but how it interacts with the heat coming from Spain is uncertain. There is a potential for it to be pretty hot and humid, say somewhere between 25’C and 32’C – with some thundery downpours. But it really could be any normal summer weather that day.

Friday therefore also highly uncertain, though further warmth and showers will both be very possible.

Fairly strong signal for next weekend to see high pressure push up from the south-west once more, so something more settled with sunny spells, and normal levels of warmth – say around 23’C, give or take, being the more likely outcome. Not nailed on yet, Thursday’s low does cause some uncertainty still, but fairly high confidence considering it is 8 days away.

High pressure likely in control the week after – expect more very warm sunshine.

Have a pleasant weekend – I’m off on an adventure again (Trieste and Ljubljana) so not sure when the next forecasts will be, but I will find time at some point next week. And yes, it is looking hot and sunny in both Trieste and Ljubljana – thankfully nothing too extreme either!